Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 9.909548 11.352779 12.887957 14.637669 16.571657 18.638987 21.010888
2025-03-02 7.580953 9.512161 11.711745 14.382893 17.518452 21.061651 25.346405
2025-03-09 6.068010 8.280578 10.961628 14.403986 18.657544 23.690790 30.042212
2025-03-16 4.855288 7.183304 10.174414 14.216697 19.446405 25.889351 34.321835
2025-03-23 4.258910 6.762133 10.144495 14.916105 21.326301 29.483636 40.472070
2025-03-30 3.612600 6.156446 9.768750 15.080137 22.473935 32.170335 45.581065
2025-04-06 2.908351 5.343402 8.985636 14.572561 22.632342 33.520340 48.970291
2025-04-13 2.318778 4.600670 8.196819 13.947211 22.532781 34.461746 51.799686
2025-04-20 2.091353 4.408429 8.210953 14.486483 24.099735 37.736175 57.905251
2025-04-27 1.999781 4.433297 8.562104 15.552501 26.482597 42.242881 65.874658
2025-05-04 1.866407 4.359136 8.734897 16.336762 28.468233 46.245822 73.262634
2025-05-11 1.636435 4.063640 8.496085 16.426421 29.377135 48.701073 78.508137
2025-05-18 1.369320 3.655732 8.027458 16.116699 29.674455 50.315447 82.681916
2025-05-25 1.156005 3.318282 7.644004 15.912428 30.117344 52.157218 87.251589
2025-06-01 1.004858 3.086692 7.428443 15.974733 30.984150 54.664788 92.881612
2025-06-08 0.850533 2.814025 7.096748 15.793003 31.421604 56.509358 97.559420
2025-06-15 0.803163 2.796153 7.276966 16.565722 33.514216 61.029764 106.457148
2025-06-22 0.711095 2.642451 7.154080 16.751028 34.592500 63.961208 112.979577
2025-06-29 0.577992 2.342447 6.675460 16.202736 34.339830 64.718576 116.117300
2025-07-06 0.458842 2.045893 6.158843 15.524020 33.798219 64.959600 118.420945
2025-07-13 0.428485 2.017412 6.261220 16.112303 35.594957 69.140007 127.122432
2025-07-20 0.430142 2.095514 6.627431 17.272587 38.499341 75.262962 139.096961
2025-07-27 0.414794 2.112137 6.843271 18.125257 40.857201 80.521023 149.784124